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实用可靠性工程
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1.国外第5版的高版次可靠性著作 2.原书第4版在国外销售火爆,累计超10万美元 3.本书内容全面、实用,理论与实践结合紧密
本书符合美国质量协会(ASQ)认证可靠性工程师课程的要求,包括可靠性工程简介,可靠性中的数学,寿命数据分析和概率绘图,蒙特卡洛仿真,载荷-强度干涉,可靠性预测与建模,可靠性设计,机械零件和系统的可靠性,电子系统的可靠性,软件可靠性,试验设计和方差分析,可靠性试验,可靠性数据分析,可靠性演示与增长,制造过程中的可靠性,可维护性、维护和可用性,可靠性管理等方面的内容,确保了与所有质量保证和可靠性课程的持续相关性。本书适合大专院校学生和从事可靠性工程产品及系统的设计、开发、制造和维护等的专业人士阅读使用。
第1章可靠性工程简介111什么是可靠性工程112为什么要讲授可靠性工程213为什么产品会失效414可靠性中的概率715可修复和不可修复产品816不可修复产品的失效模式917可修复产品的失效模式1018可靠性工程的发展1019课程、会议和文献12110可靠性工作的机构13111作为效能参数的可靠性13112可靠性工作的各项活动14113可靠性经济效益和管理15习题19参考文献20期刊文献20第2章可靠性中的数学2121引言 2122变异2123概率的概念2324概率的定律2525连续变量29251集中趋势的度量31252分布的散度31253累积分布函数32254可靠性函数和风险函数32255使用Microsoft Excel函数计算可靠性3326连续分布的函数33261正态(高斯)分布33262对数正态分布35263指数分布35264伽马分布36265χ2分布37266威布尔分布37267极值分布3827连续统计分布的总结4028工程中的变异43281变异服从正态分布吗43282影响与原因46283尾部4729小结47210离散变量482101二项分布482102泊松分布49211统计置信度51212统计假设检验532121均值差异的检验(z检验)532122在二项试验中应用z检验552123显著性的χ2检验562124方差间差异的检验,方差比检验(F检验)56213非参数推断方法57214拟合优度592141χ2拟合优度检验592142柯尔莫哥洛夫-斯米尔诺夫检验60215事件序列(点过程)612151趋势分析(时间序列分析)622152叠加过程64216统计计算机软件64217实践总结65习题66参考文献69入门性资料69更深入的读物69目录●●●●●●●●●●实用可靠性工程第3章寿命数据分析和概率绘图7031引言70311一般的寿命数据分析和概率绘图70312统计数据分析方法7032寿命数据的分类73321完整数据73322删失数据73323右删失(中止)74324区间删失74325左删失7433数据的秩75331秩的概念75332平均秩76333中位秩76334中位秩的累积二项法76335中位秩的代数近似77336对删失数据求秩7734威布尔分布78341双参数威布尔分布78342威布尔参数估计和概率绘图78343三参数威布尔分布82344β参数与失效率和浴盆曲线的关系84345BX寿命8535用软件进行数据分析和概率绘图85351X轴秩回归85352 似然法87353选用秩回归法和 似然法的建议8836寿命数据分析的置信界限89361威布尔数据的置信区间90362单个参数的界限91363计算置信界限的其他方法9437选择 佳分布并评估结果95371分布拟合的优度96372混合分布97373在工程中求出 分布的方法9938小结102习题103参考文献107第4章蒙特卡洛仿真10841引言10842蒙特卡洛仿真的基础10843其他统计分布109431均匀分布109432三角形分布10944对统计分布进行采样110441用Excel生成随机变量110442仿真运行次数和结果的准确度11145进行蒙特卡洛仿真的基本步骤11246蒙特卡洛方法总结117习题117参考文献118第5章载荷-强度干涉11951引言11952载荷与强度的分布11953载荷-强度干涉分析122531正态分布的强度与载荷122532载荷与强度服从其他分布的情况12354安全裕度与载荷粗糙度对可靠性的影响(施加多个载荷)12355一些实际因素的考量130习题131参考文献132第6章可靠性预测与建模13361引言13362可靠性预测的基本限制13463根据标准进行可靠性预测135631MIL-HDBK-217136632Telcordia SR-332(原Bellcore)137633IEC 62380(原RDF 2000)138634NSWC-06/LE10138635PRISM和217Plus138636中国299B(GJB/Z 299B)139637其他标准139638IEEE 1413标准140639可靠性预测的软件工具14064可靠性预测的其他方法141641基于返修的方法141642现场数据和可靠性预测标准结合141643失效物理141644可靠性预测的“自顶向下法”14265实际因素的考量14266系统可靠性模型143661基本的串联可靠性模型143662工作冗余144663表决系统冗余145664备用冗余145665进一步的冗余分析14667可修复系统的可用性14668模块化设计15069框图分析151691割集与合集152692共模失效153693启动事件154694实践方面的问题154610故障树分析(FTA)155611状态空间分析(马尔可夫分析)1586111复杂系统1606112连续马尔可夫过程1626113马尔可夫分析的局限、优点和应用162612Petri 网1636121故障树和Petri网之间的转换1646122
本书第4版出版至今又过去了整整十年。在这十年中,可靠性方法又有了长足的发展,主要是因为设计分析软件和可靠性数据分析软件的使用。当然,工程技术本身的发展对可靠性也有促进作用。互联网也为信息和工具的获得增加了一个渠道。为了包含上述新内容,Andre Kleyner与我合作编写了新的一版。本书大部分新内容出自Andre,他提供了许多例题中软件计算出的结果,补充或更新了文字和图形方法。他还更新了一些技术方面的内容,并增加了数据分析等章节。本书的主要变化如下:——统计方法的软件实现,包括概率绘图和常见软件的深入应用,如微软的Excel。——增加蒙特卡洛仿真方法及其应用的内容。——对可靠性预测方法进行了更详细的介绍。——更深入地介绍了加速试验数据分析。——保修数据分析。——增加了一章内容,全面介绍了可靠性演示方法。——使用本书的教师可以在wwwwileycom/go/oconnor_reliability5上获取答案。——更新了参考文献,包括发表的论文和内部链接。——对原来主要由David Newton和Richard Bromley编写的习题部分进行了修订和扩充。本书每章后面习题的答案和教师使用的课件可以在wwwwileycom/go/oconnor_reliability5上下载。我们希望新版能够一如既往地为工程师、管理人员、教师和学生提供有价值的参考。
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